The No Confidence Motion submitted by Congress legislator Gaurav Gogoi has sparked curiosity among Telugu people about which side former Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister Chandrababu Naidu (CBN) would support. The motion was accepted by Lok Sabha Speaker Birla, setting the stage for significant political development in the country. As most other parties have already made their stand clear, all eyes are now on CBN’s decision.

Number game:

In terms of numbers, the outcome of the no-confidence motion seems predictable, as the Modi government enjoys a comfortable majority. The BJP won 303 seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, surpassing the magic number of 272 required for a majority. The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) secured a total of 353 seats, and with 38 parties as part of the NDA, they hold a strong position against the motion. On the other hand, the IN.D.I.A alliance, comprising 26 parties, lacks the strength to challenge the NDA government. The opposition, including Congress, asserts that the numbers are not as critical as the discussion on Manipur violence.

BRS and YSRCP made their stand clear:

The motion also serves as a litmus test for parties that have not officially aligned with either side. Parties like BRS, YSRCP, TDP, and Biju Janatadal fall into this category. BRS made it clear that it is not on the side of the NDA, while YSRCP MP Vijaya Sai Reddy’s comments suggest its support for the NDA during the voting.

All eyes on CBN:

All eyes are now on the TDP, as it must make a decision on which side to support. Notably, TDP was the party that initiated the first-ever no-confidence motion against the Modi government in 2018. The ongoing discussions at higher levels about bringing TDP back into the NDA alliance alongside BJP and Janasena add further intrigue to the situation. Political observers see this as a crucial opportunity for CBN to make strategic decisions in his dealings with the BJP. While the NDA holds a numerical advantage, it is common for no-confidence motions to witness realignment among political parties. BJP may make efforts to gain more support and display its strength during the voting. As of now, the chances of CBN voting against the NDA appear slim. Whether CBN will use this opportunity to rejoin the NDA or if the BJP will impose hard conditions for his return remains to be seen. Alternatively, TDP might choose to avoid voting altogether.

In conclusion, the No Confidence Motion has brought political parties’ alignments into focus, and CBN’s stance becomes interesting in the current scenario. The political landscape may witness some shifts, but it seems unlikely that CBN will vote against the NDA. Whether this situation leads to TDP rejoining the NDA or involves tough negotiations between TDP and BJP will determine the course of events.

– ZURAN (@CriticZuran)